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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 95 (some duplicates have been removed)
FOX Business
Jun 20, 2013 3:00pm EDT
cells of the economy, not just the u.s., but the global economy. a lot of news, and assault team coverage with nicole petallides. once again standing by the new york stock exchange. a big sell-off. phil flynn at the cme tracking down the commodities, especially metals. jo ling kent is here with a very troubling story about china that we are following, but first to you, nicole. your headline please. >> reporter: to the big deal here is watching the volatility. we had a lot of 200. swings in the last 21 days since ben bernanke and his testimony may 22nd. half of those, ten of the 21 actually had 200. swings. the volatility is here and today you are obviously seeing a bigger move unusual. 350 points to the downside. cheryl: and an unusual move. that is how you would characterize this. >> reporter: absolutely an unusual move. essene the volatility of 10200, but not 350. cheryl: you will get back to you in a moment. phil flynn at the cme. >> reporter: it is a metals meltdown. what temperature doubles milton mack probably when the fed starts talking about a brief. the dollar is soaring
CNBC
Jun 20, 2013 1:00pm EDT
of the monetary stimulus out of the equation if the economy is getting better. and he says, the economy is showing signs of getting better and we think by year end and into 2014, it's going to be better still. so we anticipate being able to take away some of the scaffolding around this building and let it see whether it can stand on its own two feet. why is that bad news? why are commodities, stocks and bonds selling off on what, really, you could interpret as good news? >> i think it really isn't bad news, and i do think that much of what chairman bernanke said yesterday was in line with market expectations, but it clearly wasn't in line with investor positioning. so people are selling because they had a different expectation of where the fed was going to be. we now have a situation where there is some concern coming out of the markets, are the feds going to move too soon? i think that's unlikely. inflation continues to fall, so we're in a disinflationary environment. i think the feds' investments on employment are probably accurate, so i think as we look at the second half of the year, positions
CNBC
Jun 21, 2013 7:00pm EDT
point. the economy is soft, inflation virtually non-existent and i'm just going to add why risk deflation when we barely have a recovery at all? one major consequence of the bernanke policy of ending bond purchases is the big jump in interest rates and that, in turn, changes stock market valuations and that is one big reason for the large correction in stocks this week. no one can foretell the future. least of all, me. but let me just ask a couple of questions here. have treasury rates completely discounted an end to qe, okay? i don't think they have. here's my fear. i'm just going to say this. if you play this out, the ten-year treasury ought to be the same as the growth of total spending or nominal gdp in the economy and that's 3.5%, maybe 4%. we're at 2.5% on the treasury. in other words, in the last year we'll be looking at rates going to 4% in treasurys and i don't think that's in the market yet. now, also, will both stocks and bonds play cat and mouse with the fed? every day, every week, every month for the next couple of months. that's going to be a tough one. since i don
CNBC
Jun 20, 2013 4:00am EDT
the fedotenko start scaling back its bond buying program at the end of the year if the economy continues to improve. his comments at the meeting shook the stock and bond market. it's greater optimism. the unemployment could drop to 6 point phone 5% in 2014. that's a year earlier than previously thought. they're still not concerned about inflation and think gdp might expand faster than 3% over the next two years. bernanke tried to draw a distinct line between tapering and the end of qe 2. >> the most important thing that i just want to convey again is that it's important not to say this date, that date, this time. it's important to understand our policies are economic dependent. >>> so coming from the fed. equities sold off in the united states. you can see here just about 35, 40 stocks on the dow jones 500. ftse up 1 2/3. the pmi number. basic resources are the biggest seller. that comes off with china, hsbc pmi down at a nine-month low. new orders down. we're getting more on that from munich. the market reaction, this means commodities are weaker as well to date. spot gold down 3% this
CNBC
Jun 19, 2013 4:00pm EDT
the downside risks to the economies have diminished. that's certainly good news. the economy is improving. then they went on to say, mr. bernanke reiterated, the fed may taper bond purchases at the end of the year and finish by mid-2014. that was a little more flesh on the bones of their plan there. that was the important part of that. stocks and bonds dropped on that. the dow jones industrials average. we have ended at the lows of the day, down about 200 points in the dow. that started dropping -- even though we were down before 2:00, the slide accelerated as mr. bernanke began speaking at 2:30 on the press conference. bonds took it on the chin. take a look at the agg. this is the bond etf, the largest one that's out there. that's an aggregate of the total bond market. this is now essentially sitting at a two-year low. let's move on. low inflation, not great necessarily. for gold. gold took it on the chin as well. take a look at gold. gold is also closing right near two-year lows. these are intraday charts. but gold is near a two-year low right now. other commodities dropped as well toda
PBS
Jun 20, 2013 6:30pm PDT
? or is this a chance to take advantage of lower asset prices just as the economy shifts into a higher gear? >> one point we think a lot of investors are missing, though, is that the fiscal drag to the economic growth scenario for the u.s. next year becomes far more favorable. >> let's get prospective from phil orlando. phil, as always, good to see you. question number one, is this bull market interrupted or bull market fatally wounded. >> we're just interrupted, tyler. there is no question the sell off was a reaction but the market is missing it. the federal reserve in our view is going to be making a data dependent decision. for them to pull it that's been aggressive for a number of years, they have to believe the economy is ready to grow at 3% or better and they wouldn't pull the accommodation if they felt the economy was weak. so that's a positive, not a negative. >> basically, it seems to me, phil, that what chairman bernanke said yesterday is what he's been saying for months. he did put more sharp points on it but what occurs to me is that the sentiment in the market has changed. a month ago
CNBC
Jun 21, 2013 4:00pm EDT
suggest that the economy's doing better. if we continue to escalate a lot higher, like we have been -- i mean, we're up 87 bips on the 10-year in a month and a halftime. if we continue with that pace, that's what will cause the volatility, i think you want to use the volatility to pick out long-term themes -- in housing, aerospace, the industrials, and even start to look at the defensive stocks as they come down. >> rebecca, part of the issue for the markets has been currencies, has been credit, obviously. i mean, the dollar soaring against all currencies, right? euro, brazil, across the board. >> i think the dollar is likely to stay strong. the u.s. interest rate trend, i think, is going to be with us for a while. maybe not 30 years like falling interest rates were. but it could be for a couple of years. and so, if we're in that environment where you have rising interest rates, a stronger dollar, weaker commodity prices, when you think about the u.s. stocks you want to own, you want to think about names that are going to do well in a strong dollar, weak commodity environment. there are
FOX Business
Jun 19, 2013 1:00pm EDT
? this global economy. certainly, ups is a definite no whether to where we are headed. right now, checking out stocks. nicole petallides on the floor of the new york stock exchange. nicole: the dow jones industrials down about 28 points. not to off the unchanged line. there is this wait and see mode today. the last trading days have been up more than 100 trading points. the volatility is back. it has been the name of the game since may 22. we heard that tapering maybe in the future. right now everyone is just waiting to see what the fed really has to say. the language is so key here. everyone is waiting to see. right now you can see that the dow is down just slightly. lori: you summed it up beautifully for us. we will get one of the most federal reserve statements ever and less than an hour. will we get any clue as to when tapering will begin? thank you so much for joining us. what are you expecting to hear from the fed today? >> i expect no change. the statement is key. i will look for the labor market. is this the best that we are going to get? if, yes, i expect the taper to put off. lori: o
FOX Business
Jun 20, 2013 1:00pm EDT
. the difference this time around, the economy is better, housing is better, the labor market is better. this time around, i think it is a little different, a little bit better fundamental backdrop. tracy: let's talk about how we can position our bonds for it. >> it is hard to know exactly where this will settle out. the move of two to 40 has been pretty dramatic. we may have already covered a lot of the ground we will cover. on the equity side, i think you have to be overweighted in the u.s. still. i like the domestics of the goals. we are the only major market in the world that is growing and i think stocks here are still reasonably priced. tracy: i know you also like tech. >> the problem with tech is you have to be a little discriminating because as a factor, it derives more of its product overseas than ever. the tech sector, in my view, again, is pretty reasonably valued. tracy: we have to talk about commodities. gold is down. event gold typically down this time of year? >> i would not be getting into gold. i think gold is being washed out as a result of the fed's projections. the rest of the
CNBC
Jun 21, 2013 6:00am EDT
what he said? valuations are attractive still. businesses are doing well. the economy is strengthening. get this. he says even with $20 billion, he opportunity have enough money to take advantage of all the opportunities here. >> 20. it's not all his. >> he says he's not looking at this point like, look, maybe the rate of the market has slowed down. we're not talking about three year doubles at this point. he says for his funds he's looking more five or six years for doubling. maybe nine or ten for the market. still talking about a very strong market and a place he sees great opportunity. >> these are times you try to keep your cool. >> got to have some powder. got to have dry powder. >> i wish we had all the guys looking for -- if they were to come on and say no, no, no, i'd feel better. they're never able to pull the trigger. want to go overseas? >> i think we should. for a moment. >> take us there. >> i hear this whole thing in china is kind of just not just ben bernanke creating some problems. let's talk about trading in asia and europe today. ross westgate standing by in london. f
CNBC
Jun 20, 2013 7:00pm EDT
base metals, indication of a slower global economy. commodity stocks, of course, they get hit when the dollar rises, 3%, 4% declines. they've been down 15% in the last six weeks here. let's move on here. there was no place to hide. it didn't matter. consumer staple stocks down 3%. utilities were down 3%. consumer discretionary defense care is not defensive. there wasn't any place to hide. i just want to note, larry, the s&p 500 down 5% from its historic high just about a month ago, but it's still up almost 12% on the year. bear that in mind, i want to know we're already getting deals cancelled and we had one secondary canceled tonight and brookfield renewable energy and they own wind mills and natural gas-fired power plants and they canceled late tonight due to what they call market conditions and the slide to the downside. larry, right now the futures are pretty much unchanged and we'll have it open tomorrow with a lot of trading and it will be the options exploration. after that, a lot of people here are hoping for a relatively smooth day, but nobody knows for sure. back to you.
FOX Business
Jun 19, 2013 3:00pm EDT
in the economy. so again, i mean, your point is well taken that we are in a position where this simple adjustment by 25 basis points in the federal fund rate seems like a long ago experience. we are in a more complex type of situation, but we are determined to be as clear as we can. we hope that you and your listeners and the markets will all be able to follow what we're saying. >> donna and then we will go to peter. >> donna with american banker. next month will be the 3-year anniversary of the dodd-frank act. as you know, there are number of significant all makings' that have left. provincial regulations. and risk retention to name a few. can you providen where we stand with bill greuel makings and also, are you still optimistic that we will see these rules completed by the end of this year? >> it is certainly true that it has taken time to do these regulations. there are number of reasons for that. the first is that there are inherently quite complicated. the volker rule for example involves some very subtle distinctions between hedging and market-making in proprietary trading. the second reas
CNBC
Jun 20, 2013 6:00am EDT
this year. if they remain broadly aligned with our current expectations for the economy, we will continue to reduce the pace of purchases in measured steps through the first half of next year ending purchases around mid year. >> the bonds finished in the red as the blue chip index showed its seventh straight move. all the main s&p sectors closed lowers. the worst performers were defensive sectors. telecons. this is what people had been warning us, look out for those stocks that act more like bonds. that's exactly what happened yesterday. the yield on the ten year treasury, it hit a 15-month high if you take a look at that. 2.426%. this is a concerning move. this morning the dow futures are indicated down triple digits once again. this is on top of a 200 point plus drop yesterday. it doesn't look like there's going to be a quick bounce back, at least not this morning. >> we have a number of newsmakers to help us make our way through all of this, get through these questions raised by the fed bank. including alfred broaddus and former minneapolis fed. we have john stumpf. cisco is going to h
CNBC
Jun 20, 2013 3:00pm EDT
-changer? the economy getting better? >> think investors don't believe what bernanke is telling us. that the economy is stronger. and that it is a lack of confidence in the economy's ability a to stand on its two feet without all of this liquidity. >> and do you think this is old-fashioned profit taking? we've had good gains for 2013. we've had good gains for last four years. is it time to take something off the table for that reason. >> think i so. and a couple dayes with twloost days of run up with the announcement yesterday was short-covering. so i think you have people on the shore wagon as well. i think it is a combination of profits and the move down today. >> have you a triple witch tomorrow right? expiration coming tomorrow. how does that impact things? >> i think that exaggerates the moods. usually you see a lot of activity and volume and movement. and what we have seen the last few days is a heavy down days. i think the on coming combination exaggerate the move and puts pressure in that direction of the movement in this case down and exaggerate this move. not quite a bit but, significantly
FOX Business
Jun 21, 2013 11:00am EDT
that is something that is likely. you would have to see something happening much bigger in the overall economy. i do not think it is likely. >> during the recession, new home construction dropped by roughly half. now, thanks to supply and demand, we are starting to see what could be a very robust housing market. a great deal will depend on the broader economy. connell: david, thank you. david lee miller four us in the newsroom. great story. dagen: new regulations could create a labor shortage in that industry. connell: added to my long-standing theory. nevermind. twitter founder jack dorsey teaching small business leaders how to harness attention in social media. he sat down with our friend, peter barnes. talking about rates all day long. dagen: hello. connell: hey, how's it going? dagen: that is a big move. connell: exactly.% a big move from where we were. we will be right back with more "barkett now." ♪ i want to be prepared for the long haul. ishares minimum volatility etfs. foa smoother ride. find out why 9 out of 10 large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. ishares by blackr
CNBC
Jun 20, 2013 5:00pm EDT
the economy improves. so we were buying stock today that if the economy improves that's where i want to be like a macy's. with the volatility index spike is as high and hard as it did i sold some of our mdny puts. >> you're telling me you believe ben bernanke forecasting of the improving economy when you look at the world over -- >> if it doesn't improve he's not going to taper. >> then you'll still have qe. isn't that the condition under which stocks rose? >> yes but it seems to me that growth is decelerating significantly and i don't know how the fed can stand here and say that things are going to look better in the second half. >> i'm saying if they don't they're not going to taper. so i think that this reaction is not surprising that there was a very significant reaction. but i think it's a little bit overdone. >> guy? >> hi there. technical damage in the market is there. karen mentioned may 2 for different reasons on may 22 we saw an outside day in the s&p. we've discussed it at length since. the low today was 1608. remember that number. earlier this week we made a high of 1654.
CNBC
Jun 19, 2013 1:00pm EDT
consequential meeting for markets and the federal reserve in terms of guiding markets and guiding the economy on policy here. i want to give you some tips that i think is a way to listen to bernanke today. i think you want to watch the forecast, the 2.6% gdp growth, the average for 2013 and the 7.4% unemployment rate. those could both come down here. unemployment could actually go either way, but i think it might come down here. watch the tapering guidance of the the market bet is that there is not a taper at this meeting, but bernanke could lay the groundwork for september or sooner. rates versus qe. listen to the chairman try to talk. we expect this, that he'll start to say, you know what, bernanke could strive to convince the markets that tapering does not mean a rate hike, and finally i would expect the third degree on the third term. expect many questions on whether bernanke wants to stay or if, you know, he's been fired. one thing i want to show you is the ten-year. we'll be asking the fed chairman about traits and whether the rise in rates is something that the fed wants to have happen
CNBC
Jun 19, 2013 9:00am EDT
mean for commerce and economy. >>> and now a backing off of a bid for sprint by dish, and they will concentrate on clearwire. >>> and also, a look at icahn stepping up dell bid. >>> and now the fed is wrapping up the two-day policy meeting this afternoon. investors hoping that fed will provide clarity about how and when the fed will wind down the bond buying program. make sure to watch the statement, and ben bernanke's news conference which is i perhaps more important, and it starts at 2:00 p.m., and one way or another, it is going to be nice to get something out of the way, wouldn't it? >> yes, i used to regard these events as big bad events when i worked at the hedge fund, because there could be relief even if he says the wrong thing and i'd love for him to address the 10-year, because it signals that the e kconomy is better, b it is not just weak. but if you address the 10-year, i'm in control and the bond vigilantes are not. i believe when this is over, we will come back and discuss -- i'm not kidding -- stocks. >> although, is it possible that the language that h
CNBC
Jun 21, 2013 1:00pm EDT
't think the economy is that strong yet. that would be another conversation on the line, but i think the interest rate -- the jump in interest rates is more once again of a knee jerk reaction. >> do you agree with that, because it does feel as though we're kind of at an infliction point in terms of rates, and this has been a really big backup this week in rates even though we're still at historically low levels. >> as much as i love kenny, i disagree with the big guy. an overreaction, no. we aren't seeing an overreaction. big ben. came out with the bernanke belly flop when he inadvertently suggested that they can move the stimulus or even taper on unemployment target. went from 6.9% up to 7%. that was huge, and that's when the ripple effects and the tsunami came into the treasury pits behind me. they began selling it, and right now, sue, severe technical damage, so the treasury market, obviously 7 and above, 2.40 in the ten-year note is very difficult. equity bounced off this 100-day moving average of 15.75 which coincides with the multi-year high. a lot of people were caught offside
CNBC
Jun 20, 2013 9:00am EDT
is not only allowing inflation, but the fact that it won't come down. and now the u.s. economy has to take into account that and the move of rates and the 1.5% move in rates is a hard pill to follow. >> and scott n the last three or maybe four, the feds have come in, and they have said, i am short the 10-year and take a boatload and every year they are wrong, and perhaps now, but to this point, we are waiting for an appreciable move in rates for year and years and the fact that the economy may not stand on its own legs is curious to me. i am curious what you are hearing out there, as well, scott, in terms of the pain people are taking on the fixed income side, and those who are not short credit and obviously watching the equities sell off. >> the market, whether it is treasuries or equities, the market was probably hoping and probably against the better judgment probably that bernanke yesterday was going to sort of walk it back, and walk back the notion that they were going to mention taper org that -- tapering or going to do it any time soon and we know that the people you are talking abo
FOX Business
Jun 20, 2013 11:00am EDT
. bernanke said the fed could slow its bond line program later this year, as long as the economy keeps growing and unemployment falls. in a note to clients, renaissance marker research said we suspect the markets are significantly overreact into the process of tapering. rbc capital markets said one of the big surprises in bernanke's press conference was that the chairman did not attempt to walk back the recent rise in interest rates. bernanke said yesterday that tapering really was not that bad. kind of like taking your foot off the gas pedal in the car and hitting a nice cruising speed, not hitting the brakes. >> what he is doing is a lot like monetary drunk driving. >> we will get more clarity at the end of july. connell: thank you much. brian jacobson for us next. it is always good to have brian's point of view. to what level is your anxiety level at this stage? >> my anxiety level is very low. i understand that they have a centrally planned economy. they can marshal resources to prop up their banks if necessary. i am not concerned about the federal reserve cutting back on their ass
MSNBC
Jun 21, 2013 3:00am PDT
-- pumping billions and billions of dollars into the economy. is it possible that we have gone from a tech bubble to a housing bubble to a fed bubble? >> it's absolutely a risk. the real question is is this easing? all this billions and billions of dollars, trillions of dollars really of dollars the federal reserve has printed and pumped into the economy. have they created a real enduring economic expansion? can housing exist? can housing keep recovering even without ultra-cheap money? can the housing market keep rising without ultra-cheap money? can housing growth continue? that's the bet that ben bernanke has been making the past couple of years. the question is is the debt going to pay off, or will we be right back in this mess we were five years ago? >> isn't the case when former chairman allen greenspan greens retired, he was pummeled because of the housing bubble. isn't it the case, since greenspan left, we've become more liberal with our monetary supply as far as pumping more money into the monetary supply. money has been basically free for investors and businesses for the past seve
CNBC
Jun 20, 2013 4:00pm EDT
tapering i think will be symbolic. we have inflation high and i don't think to the economy is quite making it out what the fed is meant to be. i think we will see a bounce back here. >> would you say you want to buy here or wait and see if things settle out in more after wash-out? >> i would start to get money involved here. even during the run-up waiting for an opportunity to get into the market. here is an opportunity. you don't have to put everything in but it is time to move some money back into the market, cheaper valuations here. >> michael pento, how do you see it? >> first of all, mr. bernanke is a very confused man. he launched qe4 in january. january of this year. not only six months later, not even six months later, he lowers his growth forecast, takes down dramatically, his inflation outlook, and then for the first time ever, outlines a time line where he's going to get out of his quantitative easing strategy. so he surprised a lot of people on wall street and i got news for mr. bernanke. he does not control long-term interest rates and he has this economy 100% addicted to his
CNBC
Jun 17, 2013 6:00am EDT
morning to you. leaders of the world's most powerful economies are gathering in northern ireland for a two-day summit. british prime minister david cameron is the host, and he's pushing for countries to share more financial information. leaders there also expected to discuss differences on some of the big issues. syria's civil war, free trade between europe and north america and of course global tax evasion. we'll have a live report from steve sedgwick on the ground in the next hour. >>> unions in turkey, they're on a owuone-day strike over the eviction of protesters from a park in istanbul. police and protesters clashed from sporadically overnight following a weekend of scuffles in the city. nbc's richard engel will join us with the latest in the next hour. >>> also in corporate news this morning, a large activist investor in smithfield foods is pressuring the company to explore a break-up rather than go ahead with that planned $4.7 billion takeover by a chinese meat producer. i don't know if this is going to make joe happy or not, but "the wall street journal" reporting that starboard va
CNBC
Jun 19, 2013 4:00am EDT
that the outlook for the u.s. economy is still quite unclear and that would dovetail nicely with what are likely to be downward revisions to the fed's forecast for the economy. if you look at the march forecasts, they were still forecasting 2013 gdp at 2.5%. and while i don't think they will go down to the sort of level that the imf was forecasting at 1.9 last friday, down grading that forecast of gdp, downgrading their inflation forecasts to levels which they previously described as sub optimal should offer markets some reassurance that as much as bernanke will stress tapering probably is going to happen, it's a matter of when. and he won't pre-judge his options. it's not something which means immediately that interest rates are going to rise. one of the things that markets seem to have to gotten, that when the fed outlined its qe exit plan in 2011, it did actually say the first thing it would do was not raise interest rates but stop rolling off or reinvesting maturing debt. >> the other thing of course is they won't be buying any fresh stuff even when they stop. and tapering doesn't mean they
FOX Business
Jun 17, 2013 6:00pm EDT
. thank you for coming on tonight. >> no problem. gerri: in an unrelated story, is the economy about to hit the brakes? there has been slowdown for the past three years. kennedy avoided if this year? with more on this, we have with sam saunders a chief investment strategist for charles schwab. i want to get to this idea of the economy in just a second. but first, i would like you to respond to this pink newspaper about how ben bernanke may indicate exactly what he's going to apply the brakes on easing this week. we expect to hear from him on wednesday. what do you say? >> i'm not so sure that that is shocking news. this has been building to the point where it actually starts tapering off. they have been transparent. to think about this a few months in advance, i'm not so sure that i understand why this is newsworthy be one you may be calm, but the markets were not. where do you think the professional traders are thinking about this right now? >> the market is having little tantrums. but it's not a big surprise. we know what the fed has done is unprecedented with quantitative easing a
CNBC
Jun 19, 2013 6:00pm EDT
about how the economy is still a bit dicey and jobs aren't being created fast enough. now they're thinking he just wants to put everybody to work, he's not worried about the bonds. bondholders are saying to heck with this, you're not going to protect us, economy is way too strong for bernanke to keep buying bonds, he can't keep rates down, he shouldn't even try. the owners of bonds aren't as worried about the ongoing drag of the federal government that berng kooes fretting about and talked about today. they aren't worried about higher taxes, sequester spending cuts or any lack of any serious attempt by elected officials to get hiring going. they are selling their bonds right now before things get so much better that those bonds will be worth even less! to understand how bonds work i've got to do something different because i know a lot of people can't tell the difference between a stock and a bond. so i'm going to -- i'm going to do a little fictional analysis here. imagine that the united states is a publicly traded company. and it's got this really counterintuitive stock that
CNBC
Jun 17, 2013 7:00pm EDT
, but they are not focusing on the right thing which is growth, growth, growth. the european economy is in a six-quarter double dip recession. the u.s. is sub par. japan is trying to reignite, and i'm especially critical of european monetary policy which is way too tight. and speaking of monetary policy, our markets are more obsessed with it than ever. strong stock buys this afternoon, based on just one reporter from "the financial times" and his ill-advised, uninformed conjecture about what the fed would do, and then when that same reporter tweeted everybody that he really had no idea what he was talking about, well, stocks regained most of their losses. crazy story. an nsa leaker edward snowden points his finger straight at the big tech companies. they said they should resist the government's demand for user information. wrong. they should abide by all our laws, especially national security laws. all those stories and much more coming up on "the kudlow report" beginning right now. >>> let's start right away with cnbc's michelle caruso-cabrera. she is covering the g-8 summit. michelle, good eve
FOX Business
Jun 19, 2013 4:00pm EDT
, risks have diminished. the economy is getting better and tapering off will continue. he gave as you very specific timeline for tapering off of the bond purchases. all that weighed in on the market. the question is whether this is it or there are worst times to come in terms of a selloff t was a selloff and it was instigated by the federal reserve. cheryl: dow is down 205 points. we really had a vast breadth of selling in the last five minutes. david: that is the intraday low for all of the markets as they all take a dive below 1:00%. "after the bell" begins right now. cheryl: let's get right to today's action. we had a lot of it. bret says be prepared for a pullback. you got one day. larry hilsenrath. director of research who says there is one indicator no one is talking about that could determine when the fed tapers. of course mark sebastion in the pits of the cme. mark, i want to start with you, what a day especially when you look at swings in treasury price, volatility there, dollar, gold, what was the top of your radar today? >> the dog that is wagging the whole market's tail is 10-y
FOX Business
Jun 20, 2013 4:00pm EDT
many financial stocks particularly those exposed to the domestic economy. david: okay. >> the u.s. is well-capitalized -- david: i have to put you on pause there when you're on financials. we'll take issue with you. we have earnings coming in from oracle. jo ling kent what do the numbers look like? >> dave, we have an 87 cents per share eps which is exactly as expected. $10.95 billion which is a miss on revenue. breaking down numbers a little bit, we see a quarterly revenue of $849 million. what is interesting, new software license revenues were up 1.4% to 4 billion. they were expecting to see this go from, between 1 and 11% that is certainly on the low end. that is a very important area for oracle to grow especially if other companies get into this market. david: i want to go back to todd. we have a lot of news to cover i don't want to focus on any one stock but does this tell you anything about oracle? >> this is common throughout the entire earnings season. miss on the top line. that is the whole story. oracle looks pretty good chartwise. with the current market conditions it
FOX Business
Jun 17, 2013 3:00pm EDT
the reason the fed would taper. the reason the fed tapers is that the economy is markettedly better or marginally better. the fact is it's seen as a negative somehow. we got better than expected housing data today. that's not holding on to the gains. the narcotic association -- national association of home builders index, right hand of the screen, rose from 52 to 42 in may, the highest since 2006. today, the engines roar, kicking off the start of the paris air show, the show where the top airlines and all the big makers show us and show their wear. is shares of boeing like what they saw today. shares of boeing at a new high after a ceo had confidence in the brand new batteries they reinstalled in the dream liner, and it received an order for ten 787 10x. that's good news for boeing. nicole on the floor of the new york stock exchange, the spy case, and silicon valley opens the books to the government because the government asked for information. we'll get more on that story. and we have a cautionary tale of china being the spoiler on detroit's comeback. yes, detroit's auto world come
FOX Business
Jun 20, 2013 7:00pm EDT
in the way of strength six months out. >> i think the market raises strong free economy. hastens the day that the fed starts tightening. add to that bernanke's laying down of punitive timetables which he said umpteen times is tentative. may not to a defense and the economy. the market does not want to hear any of that. if he says that the assumption is, oh, he will stop doing it tuesday are something like that, which is that going to. lou: he made big references to inflation. he made references to unemployment or at least the six and half percent level as part of construction for his decision . is a little surprising to me. and it suggested that he does want to accelerate things year. are there signs that this quantitative easing combined purchasing program, this is having a negative, a deleterious effect on the fed's goals? >> i do not believe so. it is not -- it is not the sort of thing you would think would drive down inflation. inflation has fallen well below the fed's goal, but -- but the people who are worried about qe are worried about the other direction, inflationary. it probabl
CNBC
Jun 21, 2013 4:00am EDT
. and the double hit of the weak chinese economy and also the fed's tapering continue to weigh on this sector. back to you. >> thanks for that. let's recap what happened in the u.s. as well. selling off for a second day. dow, s&p 500 suffering their worst day of the year. dow down 254 points. highest one day percentage drop since last november. all 30 components down with 29 of the 30 dropping more than 1%. s&p had its worst one day percentage drop since november as well. november 2011, i should say. all ten s&p sectors were down more than 2%. 96% of the stocks listed on the benchmark index ended in the red. the vix, the markets fair gauged up more than 23% to its highest close since december. joining us for more, charles steeple, head of market strategy at lloyd's bank with us for the best part of the first hour today. good to see you. it's been described as sort of a big unwind of leverage. the thing that's striking about this, of course, actually what was the hedge yesterday that paid off? maybe if you were long in the vix. otherwise you were pretty much whammied. >> yeah. i mean, it's -- heads
CNBC
Jun 20, 2013 12:00pm EDT
of the economy that's buzzing? we'll ask the definitive voice on that suggest, ivy zelman, in a halftime exclusive. >>> mining for answers. what does china's manufacturing meltdown mean for stocks? a trader debate is ahead. >>> stocks falling hard and continuing that steep slide "today." the worst two-day drop for the dow this year. did ben bernanke kill the rally or is this the buying opportunity a lot of people have been waiting for? we're trading the fed fallout, what it all means to your money with joe terranova, josh brown, simon baker, and stephanie link. josh brown, answer that question. >> no, the rally has been killed. we haven't yet closed at a 5% connection yet but it looks like we're getting very close. what i would tell you is we've been beneath the 20-day moving average for almost a month now. so i think that rally that started from november has ended and now the only question is whether or not we're in a down trend or we're biding time until another leg up. i would tell you this is a massive carry trade unwinding. i would 234not want to be the ft one to dive in and say thi
CNBC
Jun 18, 2013 6:00am EDT
the eurozone economy, arguing that recent signs of market stabilization mean that the ecb's interest rates are becoming a more effective tool again. we'll see about that. >>> also, g-8 leaders are wrapping up a summit in northern ireland today. british prime minister david cameron has, of course, been the host. he says the goal of the group is to "fired up our economies and drive growth and prosperity around the world." we're going to have more, of course, from cnbc's steve sedgwick, who's on the ground there in that beautiful live shot in about 20 minutes. >>> meantime, time for "the global markets report." we'll go across the pond not to ireland, but to london, where ross westgate is standing by this morning amid a sea of green. a little bit of red around. how are you doing, ross? >> yeah, hey, andrew, pretty good. we're actually at the best levels of the session today here for european equities. advances out-pacing decliners by around about, what, 6-2, 7-2 on the dow jones stocks 600. it's been a mixed morning, but the ftse 100 now up 0.8%, despite the that is correct if inflation numbe
FOX Business
Jun 22, 2013 4:00am EDT
in the largest wely gain in four years. the sooner the fed pays it out, presses on buying. hurting the economy more than it has helped. editor-in-chief steve forbes, great to have you with us. qe appears to be at an end, sort of. $85 billion continues, the rates are moving higher, so that will be problematic. your thoughts on the timing on all of thisy the fed chairman. >> three years late, better late than never, what ben bernanke has done inadvertently this make it easier for the vernment to deficit spending, get back on their feet, issue newonds but for the rest of the economy, smaller businesses like with what they said in russia, health care is free but you can't get any. they a thehe job creators, they are hurt by what bernanke did. not much left for the small guys. lou: a lot of lilimited government, some of them are anti-fed. oh, my gosh, we cannot conclude it a $5 billion per month. i do not like what he has done, bbt don't let him reverse course here. there is a chorus of hypocrisy in pleading for more punch bowl, please. >> it is hard to give up when you have it. bernanke will not d
FOX Business
Jun 17, 2013 1:00pm EDT
, given the fact that we are becoming energies efficient with fracking? our economy is growing, the dow is up today 161 points, can we ignore the world events and continue to go on with the kind of relationships we used to need? >> no. i think it is more important that america become a player. we still have so many other issues. as the world is getting smaller, america must exert their influence in ways that were unforeseen 20 or 30 years ago. we have to be engaged. if we take an internal role of we are not needed as we were, i think that we do it at our peril. lori: a lot of economists are very concerned about this currency war that is underway. you have countries at the g8 representing $7 trillion in global economic wealth. do you think that that topic will come up? how do you realistically have a discussion about a trade deal if you do not talk about what is really going on. >> there is no question about it. if we will have a trade agreement, it has to be free, it has to be fair, and it has to be equitable to all parties. if one party has an upper hand, it is honored as a breach. com
CNBC
Jun 21, 2013 9:00am EDT
the food away, and buy one lobster and get one lobster, and it is bad. darden blames the economy for people not spending at lo of money to buy the breadsticks. i don't want to hear that. >> and meanwhile, we think that the economy is improving and yesterday the numbers in a different environment most likely would have been positives for the equity market, but we are not overwhelmed by the worries of the philly fed, and numbers that most people thought were better than they thought it would be. >> and i look at the bonds and how is the 10-year, strong. okay. buy me 50,000, whatever. we are in one of the moments and if we are not looking at the bonds, you know, having fun. >> and something else that people were looking at is the chinese shibor. we don't talk about it a lot. >> right, something that can jump up to bite you. >> and the rate has come down overnight, and they are trying to tighten up the money supply, and tighten it up, and the corporate inflows are not as strong as they might have originally been for china, but all part of the plan in a way of 300 million people, and 15 years to
CNBC
Jun 18, 2013 4:00pm EDT
'll give the economy before it decides to reduce the monthly asset purchases. to me, the market has kind of adjusted its own expectations both for the worse and better, much more than the fed's message has changed. so i feel like it's really a lot of suspension been drained out of this meeting. by the way, the market itself, the treasury yields have calmed down. >> all right. amy, let me ask you in terms of allocating capital. where are you seeing the flow right now in terms of putting money to work? where is the conviction out there? what sector? >> well, hi, maria. from an options perspective, it's pretty interesting, because i think a lot of folks out there would say the fed's probably not going to say too much tomorrow. it may delay things out later. our own house view is for an october tapering session. however, from the options point of view, you've actually seen short-term term structure come up. so to translate that, that's basically saying near term, more volatility is expected relative to the outer terms. so the options market is actually expecting something for tomorrow, and y
CNBC
Jun 21, 2013 12:00pm EDT
can do well. that's indicative of a better economy, a faster growing recovery happening. if rates back up very severely like we have been seeing over the last month, that's problematic in my view. that's volatility in my view. but overall the bond market needs to stabilize. when that happens i think the markets will and we can focus on earnings. if the economy continues to recover, corporate profits will recover mikofecover miking the attractive. defensives have been hammered again. you have to keep an eye out for some of these quality companies. those are on the radar screen. we're too early. >> jeffrey gundlach was on the show and said he didn't expect to hit 2.r50% on the ten-year note, today it did. gundlach e-mailing me when i asked him why are we seeing such a violent move. higher yields leads to fear-based selling leads to the street stepping back leads to fear-based selling and around and around it goes. doc, is this the way it's going to be for a while? >> it is in a way. but i agree with stephanie and stephen and jeff gundlach, who when he said it here on our show just the ot
FOX Business
Jun 19, 2013 11:00am EDT
stuart. all eyes and ears on bernanke. president obama touts our economy during a news conference with german chancellor. they have been back in the skies for just over a month, but the boeing 7873 minor, there is more problems there. walt mossberg is back. he says intel has not been out of the park. ♪ connell: a big day today. we have walt mossberg. it has been a while. dagen: new and improved walt mossberg. connell: we are waiting on bernanke. we begin with nicole petallides. nicole: good morning. the dow jones industrials were down about 21 points will be kicked off this morning. they will let us know what they are thinking and following back, we will have bernanke answering questions. you can see the major averages down slightly to the downside. it used to be if the fed did this, the market would do this. because of the action and volatility that we have seen, the only thing is the market seems to move. every word means something else. if they taper, it means that the economy is getting better. connell: thank you, nicole. all eyes are on german bernanke. dagen: peter barnes
CNBC
Jun 17, 2013 3:00pm EDT
,000 a month. the economy is not accelerating, and the fed has said clearly since january, they will taper when they see a substantial improvement in the jobs market, and i don't think they've seen it yet, especially with an uptick in unemployment growth. >> yet you do see a rise this year. >> absolutely, the april employment report over the course of the month of may, unemployment yields went up 20 basis points, and it wasn't just isolated to treasury yields. it's very real and it will have an effect on the economy, especially if the trend continues. >> if you are seeing an anticipation of the rates moving higher, mark, jump in here, because already you're seeing insurance companies, utilities, those companies that may benefit from higher rates actually get on the move here. so is that the train you want to get on, or do you want to stay with those dividend payers that have been working? >> i still think we prefer the dividend payers, because in this environment, the fed isn't going to adjust its underlying interest rate policy likely for a year, possibly two years or month. as a consequence,
FOX Business
Jun 18, 2013 4:00pm EDT
would need to see a more sustainable real improvement in the economy before we saw any reduction in his quantitative easing. if we look at recent economic data, ism manufacturing, with a reading below 50 to me, that's not necessarily an improvement in the overall economy. i think we can look through the announcement tomorrow. it will be hard. there will be some volatility. by and large i think it is more an issue of 2014. liz: but, edward, is it fair to say you wouldn't necessarily change your investment strategy on what the fed will or won't do? >> that's correct. we're a bottom-up stock-pickers. we're looking at individual securities that kind of have a technical profile that is attractive to us, a fundamental profile that is attractive to us. we may take advantage of some of the short term volatility trimming winners and taking advantage of some of the weakness. by and large we're looking over next 12 to eight teen months and think this is another ssdeshow. david: let me follow up on that and what liz was saying. what if bernanke says what the market really doesn't want to hear? the
FOX Business
Jun 21, 2013 3:00pm EDT
economy wise that could come to fruition in the next couple of months. however, i think right now we have overcome it. in the next couple of days we are going to get back above $95 in crude oil. >> all rightquickly on japan. >> you know, everyone is talking about this right now. quantitative easing is the big thing. there seems to be a disconnect between china and japan. i don't have any clear-cut answer. liz: everyone needs to watch out. economics may not be what they seem. thank you for joining us. have a good weekend, guys. investors are switching away from oracle stock. this after the company's earnings report failed to excite anyone here. >> that is right, there is a lack of quarterly numbers that came out. revenue was a disappointment. see the stock isn't down 9% and it has been sitting there all day long. it sat there all day. what is also big news is we know the nasdaq and the new york stock exchange and anybody who knows these two know that they battle it out. they battle it out. oracle will be the largest to leave the nasdaq and come over to the new york stock exchange. that was
FOX Business
Jun 20, 2013 9:20am EDT
buyers are taking a hit and so is president obama. who or what will get this stalled economy going if ben quits printing? it is a big day and we've got a big show for you. dr. ben carson is here, and angie is here from angie's list and a libertarian shootout, stossel versus the judge and "varney & company" is about to begin. having triplets. [ babies crying ] surise -- your house was built on an ancient burial ground. [ ghosts moaning ] surprise -- your car needs a new transmission [ coyote howls ] how about no more surprises? now you can get all the online trading tools you need thout any surprise fees. ♪ it's not rocket science. it's just common sense. from td ameritrade. >> all right. everybody, we are going to start with the action swirling around your money. it is not good. when ben said he may print less this year and nothing by next year, the reaction was negative and again this morning. solid interest rates going straight up. 10-year treasury yield up 1/4 point overnight and you rarely see that. and gold a huge hit. down $80 as we speak. look where the dow jones industrial aver
CNBC
Jun 17, 2013 9:00am EDT
people have looked at the economy and said, wait a minute, we're not nearly to the point where the fed can take its foot off the gas. but if you look at their forecast for not only this year, but even moving forward, they are a little bit ahead of where consensus is and that's key to what they. >> 2.6. i want to see loan growth. you don't have new splurge in housing, obviously, because the people are kind of caught up by the rates. but, yes, the stocks that acted well last week, i used again mills and bristol meyers, imminent recession in 8 to 12 months. they bottomed. you don't want to see that. in other words, this is the fed step as way and people believe that there's nothing there. i'd like to think the fed stays in, until we get more than one month of good loan growth. >> to that point, you are talking about my multiple stocks there. they had something to be taken out of them given what were, what multiples -- >> 18, 20. >> higher than some of the peers in the biotechnology sphere which is hard to believe because they're going at a good rate faster. >> i don't want to get caught i
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